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Siena Poll Shows Hochul Leading Blakeman by 9 Points in New York Governor's Race

A new Siena poll found Gov. Kathy Hochul leading Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman among likely voters ahead of the New York gubernatorial election. Coverage differed in focus: one outlet reported the poll's specific numbers and trend, while another examined broader media and pollster dynamics surrounding the race.

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◆JUST THE FACTS

A Siena Poll released around September 23, 2026, found New York Gov. Kathy Hochul leading Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman 50% to 41% among likely voters in the state's gubernatorial race. The poll was conducted roughly six weeks before Election Day. Reporting indicated Hochul's lead had narrowed slightly from an earlier Siena poll in August, which had shown a 10-point advantage. The two candidates named in the race are incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County Executive. Siena College serves as the polling organization cited for these figures, tracking likely voter sentiment over the course of the campaign. Beyond the topline numbers, specific details such as sample size, margin of error, and methodology were not included in the available reporting. As of the reporting date, Hochul maintained a single-digit but decreasing lead over Blakeman according to this survey, with the general election still weeks away. Coverage from Politico addressed the broader pollster and media landscape surrounding the race without providing additional specific poll figures, so the extent of overlap or disagreement with the Siena numbers cannot be fully assessed. Further developments, including additional polling and campaign events before Election Day, remain unresolved and would require subsequent reporting to confirm.

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How the coverage differs

ABC7 New York (WABC)Center framing

Election Day 2026: Hochul leads Blakeman by 9 points in new poll of likely voters for New York governor

A new Siena Poll shows incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul leading Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman 50% to 41% among likely voters, with election day six weeks away. Hochul's lead has narrowed since an earlier 10-point advantage in August.

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