2026 State Elections: Minnesota Governor Forecast and Pennsylvania Legislative Landscape

Two separate reports address different 2026 state election contests. One report, from Pollsmax, covers Minnesota's open governor's race, in which Democrat Amy Klobuchar is running against Republican Lisa Demuth. The other, from WHYY, covers Pennsylvania's 2026 governor's race between incumbent Josh Shapiro and Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, with focus on the state's legislative composition. In Minnesota, a Pollsmax forecasting model published September 8, 2026, gives Klobuchar a 95.8% chance of winning, projecting she would receive 58.9% of the vote to Demuth's 41.2%, rating the race as Solid Democratic. This figure comes from a single named source and has not been independently corroborated by another publisher, so it cannot be verified as a cross-confirmed fact at this time. In Pennsylvania, as of a WHYY report published August 22, 2026, the state legislature remains narrowly divided: Democrats hold 103 seats to Republicans' 100 in the state House, while Republicans hold a 27-23 majority in the state Senate. Both parties are positioning for the 2026 elections, with Democrats seeking to defend their House majority and flip three Senate seats to gain full control of Harrisburg, and Republicans aiming to defend their Senate majority while trying to retake the House. Both races remain unresolved pending the 2026 general election. No additional information corroborates the Minnesota forecast figures from a second independent source, leaving the specific win-probability and vote-share numbers unconfirmed by this report's sourcing standard. The outcome of Pennsylvania's legislative and gubernatorial contests, including whether either party achieves full control of state government, remains undetermined.